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Saturday 11 February 2017, 21:45 Stadio Artemio Franchi Full time
3–0
HT 1–0
52% 25% 23%
Home win
52.0%
Draw
24.7%
Away win
23.3%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Fiorentina 52.0% 1.92
Draw 24.7% 4.05
Udinese 23.3% 4.30

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 93.8% 1.07
Under 0.5 6.2% 16.04
Over 1.5 79.0% 1.27
Under 1.5 21.0% 4.76
Over 2.5 55.1% 1.81
Under 2.5 44.9% 2.23
Over 3.5 32.8% 3.05
Under 3.5 67.2% 1.49
Over 4.5 16.6% 6.02
Under 4.5 83.4% 1.20

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 56.5% 1.77
No 43.5% 2.30

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Fiorentina / Draw 76.7% 1.30
Fiorentina / Udinese 75.3% 1.33
Draw / Udinese 48.0% 2.08

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
6.2
5.6
3.5
1.3
0.4
0.1
1
9.2
11.7
6.2
2.3
0.6
0.1
2
8.7
9.8
5.4
2.0
0.6
0.1
3
5.2
5.8
3.2
1.2
0.3
0.1
4
2.3
2.5
1.4
0.5
0.1
0.0
5
0.8
0.9
0.5
0.2
0.1
0.0
Rows: Fiorentina goals. Columns: Udinese goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.