Sunday 29 January 2017, 16:00
Dacia Arena
Full time
35%
29%
36%
Home win
35.2%
Draw
28.8%
Away win
35.9%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Udinese | 35.2% | 2.84 | — | — |
| Draw | 28.8% | 3.47 | — | — |
| AC Milan | 35.9% | 2.78 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 90.7% | 1.10 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 9.3% | 10.71 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 71.2% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 28.8% | 3.47 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 44.5% | 2.25 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 55.5% | 1.80 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 23.3% | 4.28 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 76.7% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 10.3% | 9.68 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 89.7% | 1.12 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 50.8% | 1.97 | — | — |
| No | 49.2% | 2.03 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Udinese / Draw | 64.1% | 1.56 | — | — |
| Udinese / AC Milan | 71.2% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Draw / AC Milan | 64.8% | 1.54 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
9.3
|
9.8
|
6.5
|
2.7
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
| 1 |
9.7
|
13.7
|
8.0
|
3.3
|
1.0
|
0.3
|
| 2 |
6.4
|
7.9
|
4.9
|
2.0
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
| 3 |
2.6
|
3.2
|
2.0
|
0.8
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
0.8
|
1.0
|
0.6
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.2
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2026
AC Milan
0-3
Udinese
Sep 2025
Udinese
0-3
AC Milan
Apr 2025
Udinese
0-4
AC Milan
Oct 2024
AC Milan
1-0
Udinese
Jan 2024
Udinese
2-3
AC Milan
Nov 2023
AC Milan
0-1
Udinese
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.