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Monday 16 January 2017, 21:45 Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino Full time
2–2
HT 2–0
47% 25% 28%
Home win
46.9%
Draw
24.9%
Away win
28.2%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Torino 46.9% 2.13
Draw 24.9% 4.02
AC Milan 28.2% 3.54

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 94.5% 1.06
Under 0.5 5.5% 18.17
Over 1.5 81.1% 1.23
Under 1.5 18.9% 5.30
Over 2.5 58.3% 1.72
Under 2.5 41.7% 2.40
Over 3.5 35.9% 2.79
Under 3.5 64.1% 1.56
Over 4.5 18.9% 5.29
Under 4.5 81.1% 1.23

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 60.4% 1.65
No 39.6% 2.53

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Torino / Draw 71.8% 1.39
Torino / AC Milan 75.1% 1.33
Draw / AC Milan 53.1% 1.88

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
5.5
5.7
4.1
1.8
0.6
0.2
1
7.7
11.5
7.1
3.1
1.0
0.3
2
7.2
9.4
6.1
2.6
0.9
0.2
3
4.2
5.4
3.5
1.5
0.5
0.1
4
1.8
2.3
1.5
0.7
0.2
0.1
5
0.6
0.8
0.5
0.2
0.1
0.0
Rows: Torino goals. Columns: AC Milan goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.