Sunday 18 December 2016, 16:00
Stadio San Paolo
Full time
59%
21%
20%
Home win
58.9%
Draw
20.9%
Away win
20.2%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Napoli | 58.9% | 1.70 | — | — |
| Draw | 20.9% | 4.78 | — | — |
| Torino | 20.2% | 4.96 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 96.4% | 1.04 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 3.6% | 27.89 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 86.7% | 1.15 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 13.3% | 7.55 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 67.6% | 1.48 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 32.4% | 3.09 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 46.0% | 2.18 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 54.0% | 1.85 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 27.1% | 3.68 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 72.9% | 1.37 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 64.3% | 1.56 | — | — |
| No | 35.7% | 2.80 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Napoli / Draw | 79.8% | 1.25 | — | — |
| Napoli / Torino | 79.1% | 1.26 | — | — |
| Draw / Torino | 41.1% | 2.44 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
3.6
|
3.3
|
2.4
|
1.0
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
6.3
|
9.1
|
5.4
|
2.2
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
| 2 |
7.6
|
9.6
|
6.0
|
2.5
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
| 3 |
5.7
|
7.1
|
4.5
|
1.9
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
3.2
|
4.0
|
2.5
|
1.0
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 5 |
1.4
|
1.8
|
1.1
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Mar 2026
Napoli
2-1
Torino
Oct 2025
Torino
1-0
Napoli
Apr 2025
Napoli
2-0
Torino
Dec 2024
Torino
0-1
Napoli
Mar 2024
Napoli
1-1
Torino
Jan 2024
Torino
3-0
Napoli
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.