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Saturday 5 November 2016, 19:00 Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino Full time
5–1
HT 3–1
72% 14% 14%
Home win
71.9%
Draw
14.3%
Away win
13.8%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Torino 71.9% 1.39
Draw 14.3% 6.98
Cagliari 13.8% 7.27

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 98.9% 1.01
Under 0.5 1.1% 92.51
Over 1.5 95.4% 1.05
Under 1.5 4.6% 21.83
Over 2.5 85.6% 1.17
Under 2.5 14.4% 6.95
Over 3.5 70.4% 1.42
Under 3.5 29.6% 3.37
Over 4.5 52.1% 1.92
Under 4.5 47.9% 2.09

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 75.0% 1.33
No 25.0% 4.00

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Torino / Draw 86.2% 1.16
Torino / Cagliari 85.7% 1.17
Draw / Cagliari 28.1% 3.56

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
1.1
1.0
0.9
0.5
0.2
0.1
1
2.5
4.4
3.1
1.5
0.6
0.2
2
4.5
6.8
5.1
2.5
0.9
0.3
3
4.9
7.4
5.6
2.8
1.0
0.3
4
4.1
6.1
4.6
2.3
0.9
0.3
5
2.7
4.0
3.0
1.5
0.6
0.2
Rows: Torino goals. Columns: Cagliari goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.