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Monday 17 October 2016, 21:45 Renzo Barbera Full time
1–4
HT 1–3
27% 30% 43%
Home win
27.1%
Draw
30.2%
Away win
42.8%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Palermo 27.1% 3.70
Draw 30.2% 3.32
Torino 42.8% 2.34

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 88.2% 1.13
Under 0.5 11.8% 8.51
Over 1.5 65.6% 1.52
Under 1.5 34.4% 2.91
Over 2.5 38.0% 2.63
Under 2.5 62.0% 1.61
Over 3.5 18.3% 5.47
Under 3.5 81.7% 1.22
Over 4.5 7.4% 13.58
Under 4.5 92.6% 1.08

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 44.7% 2.24
No 55.3% 1.81

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Palermo / Draw 57.2% 1.75
Palermo / Torino 69.8% 1.43
Draw / Torino 72.9% 1.37

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
11.8
13.1
8.7
3.7
1.2
0.3
1
9.6
13.9
8.3
3.5
1.1
0.3
2
4.9
6.2
3.9
1.7
0.5
0.1
3
1.6
2.0
1.2
0.5
0.2
0.0
4
0.4
0.5
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Palermo goals. Columns: Torino goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.