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Wednesday 21 September 2016, 21:45 Stadio Atleti Azzurri d'Italia Full time
0–1
HT 0–0
57% 24% 19%
Home win
57.1%
Draw
23.5%
Away win
19.4%

Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Atalanta 57.1% 1.75
Draw 23.5% 4.25
Palermo 19.4% 5.15

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 93.9% 1.07
Under 0.5 6.1% 16.37
Over 1.5 79.2% 1.26
Under 1.5 20.8% 4.82
Over 2.5 55.5% 1.80
Under 2.5 44.5% 2.25
Over 3.5 33.1% 3.02
Under 3.5 66.9% 1.50
Over 4.5 16.9% 5.92
Under 4.5 83.1% 1.20

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 54.8% 1.82
No 45.2% 2.21

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Atalanta / Draw 80.6% 1.24
Atalanta / Palermo 76.5% 1.31
Draw / Palermo 42.9% 2.33

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
6.1
4.9
2.8
1.0
0.2
0.1
1
9.7
11.1
5.4
1.8
0.5
0.1
2
9.8
9.9
5.0
1.7
0.4
0.1
3
6.1
6.2
3.2
1.1
0.3
0.1
4
2.9
2.9
1.5
0.5
0.1
0.0
5
1.1
1.1
0.6
0.2
0.0
0.0
Rows: Atalanta goals. Columns: Palermo goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.