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Sunday 18 September 2016, 16:00 Stadio Ezio Scida Full time
1–1
HT 1–0
36% 49% 15%
Home win
35.8%
Draw
49.3%
Away win
14.9%

Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Crotone 35.8% 2.79
Draw 49.3% 2.03
Palermo 14.9% 6.71

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 58.8% 1.70
Under 0.5 41.2% 2.43
Over 1.5 23.1% 4.34
Under 1.5 76.9% 1.30
Over 2.5 6.2% 16.06
Under 2.5 93.8% 1.07
Over 3.5 1.3% 75.30
Under 3.5 98.7% 1.01
Over 4.5 0.2% 432.90
Under 4.5 99.8% 1.00

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 12.0% 8.32
No 88.0% 1.14

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Crotone / Draw 85.1% 1.18
Crotone / Palermo 50.7% 1.97
Draw / Palermo 64.2% 1.56

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
41.2
11.7
1.8
0.2
0.0
0.0
1
24.0
7.7
1.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
2
7.3
2.2
0.3
0.0
0.0
0.0
3
1.5
0.4
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
4
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
5
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Crotone goals. Columns: Palermo goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.