Sunday 28 August 2016, 21:45
Luigi Ferraris
Full time
53%
42%
5%
Home win
53.0%
Draw
41.5%
Away win
5.4%
Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sampdoria | 53.0% | 1.89 | — | — |
| Draw | 41.5% | 2.41 | — | — |
| Atalanta | 5.4% | 18.45 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 63.2% | 1.58 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 36.8% | 2.72 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 26.9% | 3.71 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 73.1% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 8.2% | 12.25 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 91.8% | 1.09 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 1.9% | 51.49 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 98.1% | 1.02 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 0.4% | 265.25 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 99.6% | 1.00 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 7.7% | 12.99 | — | — |
| No | 92.3% | 1.08 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sampdoria / Draw | 94.6% | 1.06 | — | — |
| Sampdoria / Atalanta | 58.5% | 1.71 | — | — |
| Draw / Atalanta | 47.0% | 2.13 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
36.8
|
4.7
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
31.5
|
4.6
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
13.8
|
1.9
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
4.0
|
0.5
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
0.9
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Jan 2023
Atalanta
2-0
Sampdoria
Aug 2022
Sampdoria
0-2
Atalanta
Feb 2022
Atalanta
4-0
Sampdoria
Oct 2021
Sampdoria
1-3
Atalanta
Feb 2021
Sampdoria
0-2
Atalanta
Oct 2020
Atalanta
1-3
Sampdoria
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.