Sunday 18 September 2016, 16:00
Sant'Elia
Full time
43%
47%
10%
Home win
43.5%
Draw
46.7%
Away win
9.8%
Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cagliari | 43.5% | 2.30 | — | — |
| Draw | 46.7% | 2.14 | — | — |
| Atalanta | 9.8% | 10.17 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 59.9% | 1.67 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 40.1% | 2.49 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 24.0% | 4.17 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 76.0% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 6.7% | 14.98 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 93.3% | 1.07 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 1.5% | 68.31 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 98.5% | 1.01 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 0.3% | 383.14 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 99.7% | 1.00 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 10.2% | 9.85 | — | — |
| No | 89.8% | 1.11 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cagliari / Draw | 90.2% | 1.11 | — | — |
| Cagliari / Atalanta | 53.3% | 1.88 | — | — |
| Draw / Atalanta | 56.5% | 1.77 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
40.1
|
8.1
|
0.9
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
27.8
|
6.4
|
0.6
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
10.0
|
2.1
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
2.4
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2026
Cagliari
3-2
Atalanta
Dec 2025
Atalanta
2-1
Cagliari
Feb 2025
Atalanta
0-0
Cagliari
Dec 2024
Cagliari
0-1
Atalanta
Apr 2024
Cagliari
2-1
Atalanta
Sep 2023
Atalanta
2-0
Cagliari
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.