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Sunday 11 September 2016, 13:30 Stadio Renato Dall'Ara Full time
2–1
HT 1–0
46% 21% 33%
Home win
45.8%
Draw
21.1%
Away win
33.0%

Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Bologna 45.8% 2.18
Draw 21.1% 4.73
Cagliari 33.0% 3.03

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 97.9% 1.02
Under 0.5 2.1% 46.58
Over 1.5 91.7% 1.09
Under 1.5 8.3% 12.05
Over 2.5 77.1% 1.30
Under 2.5 22.9% 4.36
Over 3.5 57.8% 1.73
Under 3.5 42.2% 2.37
Over 4.5 38.3% 2.61
Under 4.5 61.7% 1.62

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 75.5% 1.32
No 24.5% 4.08

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Bologna / Draw 67.0% 1.49
Bologna / Cagliari 78.9% 1.27
Draw / Cagliari 54.2% 1.85

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
2.1
2.8
3.0
1.9
0.9
0.3
1
3.4
7.5
6.6
4.1
1.9
0.7
2
4.2
7.8
7.2
4.5
2.1
0.8
3
3.1
5.7
5.3
3.3
1.5
0.6
4
1.7
3.1
2.9
1.8
0.8
0.3
5
0.7
1.4
1.3
0.8
0.4
0.1
Rows: Bologna goals. Columns: Cagliari goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.