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Sunday 28 August 2016, 21:45 Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino Full time
5–1
HT 2–1
9% 79% 11%
Home win
9.0%
Draw
79.5%
Away win
11.5%

Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Torino 9.0% 11.05
Draw 79.5% 1.26
Bologna 11.5% 8.71

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 21.8% 4.59
Under 0.5 78.2% 1.28
Over 1.5 2.7% 37.68
Under 1.5 97.3% 1.03
Over 2.5 0.2% 480.77
Under 2.5 99.8% 1.00
Over 3.5 0.0% 7,692.31
Under 3.5 100.0% 1.00
Over 4.5 0.0% 100,000.00
Under 4.5 100.0% 1.00

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 1.4% 71.48
No 98.6% 1.01

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Torino / Draw 88.5% 1.13
Torino / Bologna 20.5% 4.87
Draw / Bologna 91.0% 1.10

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
78.2
10.6
0.7
0.0
0.0
0.0
1
8.5
1.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
2
0.5
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
3
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
4
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
5
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Torino goals. Columns: Bologna goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.