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Sunday 28 August 2016, 21:45 Sant'Elia Full time
2–2
HT 0–1
18% 68% 15%
Home win
17.6%
Draw
67.7%
Away win
14.7%

Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Cagliari 17.6% 5.69
Draw 67.7% 1.48
AS Roma 14.7% 6.81

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 35.6% 2.81
Under 0.5 64.4% 1.55
Over 1.5 7.5% 13.26
Under 1.5 92.5% 1.08
Over 2.5 1.0% 95.69
Under 2.5 99.0% 1.01
Over 3.5 0.1% 884.96
Under 3.5 99.9% 1.00
Over 4.5 0.0% 10,000.00
Under 4.5 100.0% 1.00

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 4.1% 24.30
No 95.9% 1.04

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Cagliari / Draw 85.3% 1.17
Cagliari / AS Roma 32.3% 3.10
Draw / AS Roma 82.4% 1.21

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
64.4
12.9
1.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
1
15.2
3.3
0.3
0.0
0.0
0.0
2
1.8
0.4
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
3
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
4
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
5
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Cagliari goals. Columns: AS Roma goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.