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Sunday 25 September 2016, 13:30 Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino Full time
3–1
HT 1–0
51% 26% 23%
Home win
51.3%
Draw
25.9%
Away win
22.8%

Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Torino 51.3% 1.95
Draw 25.9% 3.86
AS Roma 22.8% 4.39

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 92.4% 1.08
Under 0.5 7.6% 13.21
Over 1.5 75.4% 1.33
Under 1.5 24.6% 4.07
Over 2.5 50.1% 2.00
Under 2.5 49.9% 2.00
Over 3.5 28.1% 3.56
Under 3.5 71.9% 1.39
Over 4.5 13.4% 7.47
Under 4.5 86.6% 1.15

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 52.6% 1.90
No 47.4% 2.11

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Torino / Draw 77.2% 1.30
Torino / AS Roma 74.1% 1.35
Draw / AS Roma 48.7% 2.05

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
7.6
6.3
3.6
1.2
0.3
0.1
1
10.7
12.3
6.0
2.0
0.5
0.1
2
9.4
9.6
4.9
1.7
0.4
0.1
3
5.2
5.3
2.7
0.9
0.2
0.0
4
2.1
2.2
1.1
0.4
0.1
0.0
5
0.7
0.7
0.4
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Torino goals. Columns: AS Roma goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.