Wednesday 21 September 2016, 21:45
Stadio Olimpico
Full time
90%
6%
3%
Home win
90.4%
Draw
6.4%
Away win
3.1%
Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AS Roma | 90.4% | 1.11 | — | — |
| Draw | 6.4% | 15.54 | — | — |
| Crotone | 3.1% | 32.09 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 99.2% | 1.01 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 0.8% | 124.38 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 96.2% | 1.04 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 3.8% | 25.97 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 87.7% | 1.14 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 12.3% | 8.10 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 73.7% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 26.3% | 3.80 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 56.1% | 1.78 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 43.9% | 2.28 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 56.6% | 1.77 | — | — |
| No | 43.4% | 2.31 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AS Roma / Draw | 96.9% | 1.03 | — | — |
| AS Roma / Crotone | 93.6% | 1.07 | — | — |
| Draw / Crotone | 9.6% | 10.47 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
0.8
|
0.4
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
2.6
|
2.5
|
1.0
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
5.8
|
4.9
|
2.1
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
8.0
|
6.8
|
2.9
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
8.3
|
7.1
|
3.0
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
6.9
|
5.9
|
2.5
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
May 2021
AS Roma
5-0
Crotone
Jan 2021
Crotone
1-3
AS Roma
Mar 2018
Crotone
0-2
AS Roma
Oct 2017
AS Roma
1-0
Crotone
Feb 2017
Crotone
0-2
AS Roma
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.