Wednesday 25 October 2017, 21:45
Stadio Olimpico
Full time
82%
13%
5%
Home win
82.1%
Draw
13.0%
Away win
4.9%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AS Roma | 82.1% | 1.22 | — | — |
| Draw | 13.0% | 7.70 | — | — |
| Crotone | 4.9% | 20.48 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 95.6% | 1.05 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 4.4% | 22.71 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 83.3% | 1.20 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 16.7% | 5.99 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 62.1% | 1.61 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 37.9% | 2.64 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 39.9% | 2.51 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 60.1% | 1.66 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 22.0% | 4.54 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 78.0% | 1.28 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 39.0% | 2.57 | — | — |
| No | 61.0% | 1.64 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AS Roma / Draw | 95.1% | 1.05 | — | — |
| AS Roma / Crotone | 87.0% | 1.15 | — | — |
| Draw / Crotone | 17.9% | 5.60 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
4.4
|
1.8
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
10.5
|
6.2
|
1.6
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
14.4
|
7.7
|
2.1
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
12.9
|
6.9
|
1.8
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
8.6
|
4.6
|
1.2
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
4.6
|
2.5
|
0.7
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
May 2021
AS Roma
5-0
Crotone
Jan 2021
Crotone
1-3
AS Roma
Mar 2018
Crotone
0-2
AS Roma
Feb 2017
Crotone
0-2
AS Roma
Sep 2016
AS Roma
4-0
Crotone
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.