Skip to content
Saturday 23 September 2017, 16:00 Stadio Olimpico Full time
3–1
HT 3–0
74% 16% 9%
Home win
74.4%
Draw
16.2%
Away win
9.5%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
AS Roma 74.4% 1.34
Draw 16.2% 6.19
Udinese 9.5% 10.57

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 96.2% 1.04
Under 0.5 3.8% 26.62
Over 1.5 85.8% 1.17
Under 1.5 14.2% 7.03
Over 2.5 66.1% 1.51
Under 2.5 33.9% 2.95
Over 3.5 44.2% 2.26
Under 3.5 55.8% 1.79
Over 4.5 25.6% 3.90
Under 4.5 74.4% 1.34

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 52.6% 1.90
No 47.4% 2.11

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
AS Roma / Draw 90.5% 1.10
AS Roma / Udinese 83.8% 1.19
Draw / Udinese 25.6% 3.90

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
3.8
2.3
1.2
0.3
0.1
0.0
1
8.1
7.6
3.0
0.8
0.2
0.0
2
11.0
9.2
3.8
1.1
0.2
0.0
3
9.4
7.8
3.3
0.9
0.2
0.0
4
6.1
5.0
2.1
0.6
0.1
0.0
5
3.1
2.6
1.1
0.3
0.1
0.0
Rows: AS Roma goals. Columns: Udinese goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.