Sunday 27 August 2017, 21:45
Stadio Paolo Mazza
Full time
44%
31%
25%
Home win
44.3%
Draw
30.7%
Away win
25.0%
Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spal | 44.3% | 2.26 | — | — |
| Draw | 30.7% | 3.25 | — | — |
| Udinese | 25.0% | 4.00 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 87.1% | 1.15 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 12.9% | 7.73 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 63.0% | 1.59 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 37.0% | 2.70 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 35.2% | 2.84 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 64.8% | 1.54 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 16.3% | 6.14 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 83.7% | 1.19 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 6.3% | 15.90 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 93.7% | 1.07 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 42.0% | 2.38 | — | — |
| No | 58.0% | 1.72 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spal / Draw | 75.0% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Spal / Udinese | 69.3% | 1.44 | — | — |
| Draw / Udinese | 55.7% | 1.79 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
12.9
|
9.7
|
4.5
|
1.3
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
14.3
|
13.8
|
5.6
|
1.6
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
9.4
|
8.1
|
3.5
|
1.0
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
3.9
|
3.4
|
1.5
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
1.2
|
1.0
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.3
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Jul 2020
Spal
0-3
Udinese
Nov 2019
Udinese
0-0
Spal
May 2019
Udinese
3-2
Spal
Dec 2018
Spal
0-0
Udinese
Jan 2018
Udinese
1-1
Spal
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.