Sunday 21 May 2017, 16:00
Dacia Arena
Full time
42%
29%
30%
Home win
41.6%
Draw
28.6%
Away win
29.8%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Udinese | 41.6% | 2.40 | — | — |
| Draw | 28.6% | 3.50 | — | — |
| Sampdoria | 29.8% | 3.35 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 90.7% | 1.10 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 9.3% | 10.72 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 71.2% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 28.8% | 3.47 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 44.5% | 2.25 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 55.5% | 1.80 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 23.3% | 4.28 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 76.7% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 10.3% | 9.69 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 89.7% | 1.12 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 50.4% | 1.99 | — | — |
| No | 49.6% | 2.01 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Udinese / Draw | 70.2% | 1.42 | — | — |
| Udinese / Sampdoria | 71.4% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Draw / Sampdoria | 58.4% | 1.71 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
9.3
|
8.7
|
5.2
|
1.9
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
10.8
|
13.6
|
7.1
|
2.6
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
| 2 |
7.8
|
8.7
|
4.8
|
1.8
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
3.5
|
3.9
|
2.2
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
1.2
|
1.3
|
0.7
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.3
|
0.4
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
May 2023
Udinese
2-0
Sampdoria
Jan 2023
Sampdoria
0-1
Udinese
Mar 2022
Udinese
2-1
Sampdoria
Oct 2021
Sampdoria
3-3
Udinese
May 2021
Udinese
0-1
Sampdoria
Jan 2021
Sampdoria
2-1
Udinese
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.