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Sunday 7 May 2017, 13:30 Dacia Arena Full time
1–1
HT 0–1
29% 27% 43%
Home win
29.2%
Draw
27.4%
Away win
43.3%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Udinese 29.2% 3.42
Draw 27.4% 3.64
Atalanta 43.3% 2.31

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 91.9% 1.09
Under 0.5 8.1% 12.38
Over 1.5 74.2% 1.35
Under 1.5 25.8% 3.88
Over 2.5 48.5% 2.06
Under 2.5 51.5% 1.94
Over 3.5 26.7% 3.75
Under 3.5 73.3% 1.36
Over 4.5 12.4% 8.05
Under 4.5 87.6% 1.14

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 53.3% 1.88
No 46.7% 2.14

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Udinese / Draw 56.7% 1.76
Udinese / Atalanta 72.6% 1.38
Draw / Atalanta 70.8% 1.41

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
8.1
10.0
7.8
3.8
1.4
0.4
1
7.7
13.1
9.0
4.4
1.6
0.5
2
4.9
7.1
5.2
2.5
0.9
0.3
3
1.9
2.7
2.0
1.0
0.4
0.1
4
0.5
0.8
0.6
0.3
0.1
0.0
5
0.1
0.2
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Udinese goals. Columns: Atalanta goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.