Saturday 22 April 2017, 19:00
Stadio Atleti Azzurri d'Italia
Full time
63%
24%
13%
Home win
63.4%
Draw
23.8%
Away win
12.8%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atalanta | 63.4% | 1.58 | — | — |
| Draw | 23.8% | 4.20 | — | — |
| Bologna | 12.8% | 7.83 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 90.5% | 1.10 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 9.5% | 10.58 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 70.3% | 1.42 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 29.7% | 3.37 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 43.7% | 2.29 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 56.3% | 1.78 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 22.7% | 4.41 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 77.3% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 9.9% | 10.08 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 90.1% | 1.11 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 40.7% | 2.46 | — | — |
| No | 59.3% | 1.69 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atalanta / Draw | 87.2% | 1.15 | — | — |
| Atalanta / Bologna | 76.2% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Draw / Bologna | 36.6% | 2.73 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
9.5
|
5.2
|
1.9
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
15.0
|
10.9
|
3.4
|
0.7
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
13.8
|
9.1
|
3.0
|
0.7
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
8.1
|
5.4
|
1.8
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
3.6
|
2.4
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
1.3
|
0.8
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
May 2026
Atalanta
0-1
Bologna
Jan 2026
Bologna
0-2
Atalanta
Apr 2025
Atalanta
2-0
Bologna
Sep 2024
Bologna
1-1
Atalanta
Mar 2024
Atalanta
1-2
Bologna
Dec 2023
Bologna
1-0
Atalanta
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.