Saturday 8 April 2017, 19:00
Stadio Atleti Azzurri d'Italia
Full time
64%
21%
15%
Home win
63.8%
Draw
21.4%
Away win
14.8%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atalanta | 63.8% | 1.57 | — | — |
| Draw | 21.4% | 4.67 | — | — |
| Sassuolo | 14.8% | 6.74 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94.2% | 1.06 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 5.8% | 17.27 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 80.0% | 1.25 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 20.0% | 4.99 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 56.6% | 1.77 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 43.4% | 2.31 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 34.2% | 2.92 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 65.8% | 1.52 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 17.7% | 5.65 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 82.3% | 1.22 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 52.2% | 1.92 | — | — |
| No | 47.8% | 2.09 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atalanta / Draw | 85.2% | 1.17 | — | — |
| Atalanta / Sassuolo | 78.6% | 1.27 | — | — |
| Draw / Sassuolo | 36.2% | 2.76 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
5.8
|
4.1
|
2.1
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
10.2
|
10.2
|
4.3
|
1.3
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
11.1
|
9.9
|
4.4
|
1.3
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
7.6
|
6.8
|
3.0
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
3.9
|
3.5
|
1.6
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
1.6
|
1.4
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Mar 2026
Sassuolo
2-1
Atalanta
Nov 2025
Atalanta
0-3
Sassuolo
Feb 2024
Atalanta
3-0
Sassuolo
Aug 2023
Sassuolo
0-2
Atalanta
Feb 2023
Sassuolo
1-0
Atalanta
Oct 2022
Atalanta
2-1
Sassuolo
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.