Sunday 26 February 2017, 16:00
Mapei Stadium – Città del Tricolore
Full time
34%
27%
39%
Home win
33.7%
Draw
27.0%
Away win
39.3%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sassuolo | 33.7% | 2.96 | — | — |
| Draw | 27.0% | 3.71 | — | — |
| AC Milan | 39.3% | 2.55 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 92.8% | 1.08 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 7.2% | 13.96 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 76.6% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 23.4% | 4.28 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 51.7% | 1.93 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 48.3% | 2.07 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 29.5% | 3.39 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 70.5% | 1.42 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 14.4% | 6.97 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 85.6% | 1.17 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 56.3% | 1.78 | — | — |
| No | 43.7% | 2.29 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sassuolo / Draw | 60.7% | 1.65 | — | — |
| Sassuolo / AC Milan | 73.0% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Draw / AC Milan | 66.3% | 1.51 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
7.2
|
8.5
|
6.6
|
3.2
|
1.1
|
0.3
|
| 1 |
7.7
|
12.8
|
8.7
|
4.1
|
1.5
|
0.4
|
| 2 |
5.5
|
7.9
|
5.7
|
2.7
|
1.0
|
0.3
|
| 3 |
2.4
|
3.5
|
2.5
|
1.2
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
0.8
|
1.1
|
0.8
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.2
|
0.3
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
May 2026
Sassuolo
2-0
AC Milan
Dec 2025
AC Milan
2-2
Sassuolo
Apr 2024
Sassuolo
3-3
AC Milan
Dec 2023
AC Milan
1-0
Sassuolo
Jan 2023
AC Milan
2-5
Sassuolo
Aug 2022
Sassuolo
0-0
AC Milan
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.