Monday 13 February 2017, 21:45
Stadio Olimpico
Full time
50%
26%
24%
Home win
50.1%
Draw
25.7%
Away win
24.2%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lazio | 50.1% | 2.00 | — | — |
| Draw | 25.7% | 3.88 | — | — |
| AC Milan | 24.2% | 4.13 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 92.9% | 1.08 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 7.1% | 14.12 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 76.7% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 23.3% | 4.30 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 51.9% | 1.93 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 48.1% | 2.08 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 29.7% | 3.37 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 70.3% | 1.42 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 14.5% | 6.91 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 85.5% | 1.17 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 54.4% | 1.84 | — | — |
| No | 45.6% | 2.20 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lazio / Draw | 75.8% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Lazio / AC Milan | 74.3% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Draw / AC Milan | 49.9% | 2.00 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
7.1
|
6.3
|
3.8
|
1.4
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
9.9
|
12.3
|
6.3
|
2.3
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
8.8
|
9.6
|
5.2
|
1.9
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
4.9
|
5.3
|
2.9
|
1.1
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
2.0
|
2.2
|
1.2
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.7
|
0.7
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Mar 2026
Lazio
1-0
AC Milan
Nov 2025
AC Milan
1-0
Lazio
Mar 2025
AC Milan
1-2
Lazio
Aug 2024
Lazio
2-2
AC Milan
Mar 2024
Lazio
0-1
AC Milan
Sep 2023
AC Milan
2-0
Lazio
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.