Sunday 8 January 2017, 16:00
Stadio Olimpico
Full time
76%
16%
8%
Home win
75.6%
Draw
16.3%
Away win
8.1%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lazio | 75.6% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Draw | 16.3% | 6.14 | — | — |
| Crotone | 8.1% | 12.29 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 95.3% | 1.05 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 4.7% | 21.19 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 82.7% | 1.21 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 17.3% | 5.77 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 61.0% | 1.64 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 39.0% | 2.56 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 38.7% | 2.59 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 61.3% | 1.63 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 21.1% | 4.75 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 78.9% | 1.27 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 46.3% | 2.16 | — | — |
| No | 53.7% | 1.86 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lazio / Draw | 91.9% | 1.09 | — | — |
| Lazio / Crotone | 83.7% | 1.19 | — | — |
| Draw / Crotone | 24.4% | 4.10 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
4.7
|
2.5
|
1.0
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
10.1
|
7.8
|
2.6
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
12.9
|
9.0
|
3.1
|
0.7
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
10.5
|
7.3
|
2.6
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
6.5
|
4.5
|
1.6
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
3.2
|
2.2
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Mar 2021
Lazio
3-2
Crotone
Nov 2020
Crotone
0-2
Lazio
May 2018
Crotone
2-2
Lazio
Dec 2017
Lazio
4-0
Crotone
May 2017
Crotone
3-1
Lazio
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.