Saturday 23 December 2017, 13:30
Stadio Olimpico
Full time
75%
16%
9%
Home win
75.0%
Draw
16.0%
Away win
9.0%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lazio | 75.0% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Draw | 16.0% | 6.26 | — | — |
| Crotone | 9.0% | 11.10 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 96.1% | 1.04 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 3.9% | 25.80 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 85.4% | 1.17 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 14.6% | 6.83 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 65.4% | 1.53 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 34.6% | 2.89 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 43.4% | 2.30 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 56.6% | 1.77 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 25.0% | 4.01 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 75.0% | 1.33 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 51.3% | 1.95 | — | — |
| No | 48.7% | 2.05 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lazio / Draw | 91.0% | 1.10 | — | — |
| Lazio / Crotone | 84.0% | 1.19 | — | — |
| Draw / Crotone | 25.0% | 4.00 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
3.9
|
2.3
|
1.1
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
8.4
|
7.5
|
2.8
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
11.4
|
9.1
|
3.6
|
1.0
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
9.7
|
7.8
|
3.1
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
6.2
|
5.0
|
2.0
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
3.2
|
2.6
|
1.0
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Mar 2021
Lazio
3-2
Crotone
Nov 2020
Crotone
0-2
Lazio
May 2018
Crotone
2-2
Lazio
May 2017
Crotone
3-1
Lazio
Jan 2017
Lazio
1-0
Crotone
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.