Saturday 18 November 2017, 19:00
Stadio Olimpico
Full time
58%
21%
21%
Home win
58.0%
Draw
21.4%
Away win
20.6%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AS Roma | 58.0% | 1.72 | — | — |
| Draw | 21.4% | 4.67 | — | — |
| Lazio | 20.6% | 4.85 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 96.1% | 1.04 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 3.9% | 25.75 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 85.8% | 1.17 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 14.2% | 7.05 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 66.0% | 1.52 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 34.0% | 2.94 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 44.1% | 2.27 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 55.9% | 1.79 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 25.5% | 3.92 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 74.5% | 1.34 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 63.3% | 1.58 | — | — |
| No | 36.7% | 2.72 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AS Roma / Draw | 79.4% | 1.26 | — | — |
| AS Roma / Lazio | 78.6% | 1.27 | — | — |
| Draw / Lazio | 42.0% | 2.38 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
3.9
|
3.6
|
2.6
|
1.1
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
6.7
|
9.5
|
5.5
|
2.3
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
| 2 |
7.8
|
9.7
|
6.0
|
2.5
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
| 3 |
5.6
|
7.0
|
4.3
|
1.8
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
3.0
|
3.8
|
2.3
|
1.0
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 5 |
1.3
|
1.6
|
1.0
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
May 2026
AS Roma
2-0
Lazio
Sep 2025
Lazio
0-1
AS Roma
Apr 2025
Lazio
1-1
AS Roma
Jan 2025
AS Roma
2-0
Lazio
Apr 2024
AS Roma
1-0
Lazio
Nov 2023
Lazio
0-0
AS Roma
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.