Saturday 14 October 2017, 21:45
Stadio Olimpico
Full time
43%
24%
34%
Home win
42.7%
Draw
23.6%
Away win
33.7%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AS Roma | 42.7% | 2.34 | — | — |
| Draw | 23.6% | 4.24 | — | — |
| Napoli | 33.7% | 2.96 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 96.2% | 1.04 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 3.8% | 26.06 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 86.1% | 1.16 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 13.9% | 7.21 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 66.4% | 1.51 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 33.6% | 2.98 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 44.6% | 2.24 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 55.4% | 1.81 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 26.0% | 3.85 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 74.0% | 1.35 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 67.5% | 1.48 | — | — |
| No | 32.5% | 3.08 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AS Roma / Draw | 66.3% | 1.51 | — | — |
| AS Roma / Napoli | 76.4% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Draw / Napoli | 57.3% | 1.74 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
3.8
|
4.7
|
4.2
|
2.2
|
0.9
|
0.3
|
| 1 |
5.4
|
10.1
|
7.6
|
4.1
|
1.6
|
0.5
|
| 2 |
5.4
|
8.7
|
6.9
|
3.7
|
1.5
|
0.5
|
| 3 |
3.3
|
5.2
|
4.2
|
2.2
|
0.9
|
0.3
|
| 4 |
1.5
|
2.4
|
1.9
|
1.0
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 5 |
0.5
|
0.9
|
0.7
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Feb 2026
Napoli
2-2
AS Roma
Nov 2025
AS Roma
0-1
Napoli
Feb 2025
AS Roma
1-1
Napoli
Nov 2024
Napoli
1-0
AS Roma
Apr 2024
Napoli
2-2
AS Roma
Dec 2023
AS Roma
2-0
Napoli
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.