Wednesday 20 September 2017, 21:45
Stadio Olimpico
Full time
29%
22%
48%
Home win
29.5%
Draw
22.2%
Away win
48.4%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lazio | 29.5% | 3.39 | — | — |
| Draw | 22.2% | 4.51 | — | — |
| Napoli | 48.4% | 2.07 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 96.9% | 1.03 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 3.1% | 32.70 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 88.6% | 1.13 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 11.4% | 8.77 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 70.9% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 29.1% | 3.44 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 49.9% | 2.00 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 50.1% | 2.00 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 30.7% | 3.26 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 69.3% | 1.44 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 70.2% | 1.42 | — | — |
| No | 29.8% | 3.36 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lazio / Draw | 51.6% | 1.94 | — | — |
| Lazio / Napoli | 77.8% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Draw / Napoli | 70.5% | 1.42 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
3.1
|
4.8
|
5.5
|
3.8
|
2.0
|
0.8
|
| 1 |
3.6
|
8.9
|
8.7
|
6.0
|
3.1
|
1.3
|
| 2 |
3.3
|
6.7
|
7.0
|
4.8
|
2.5
|
1.0
|
| 3 |
1.7
|
3.6
|
3.7
|
2.6
|
1.3
|
0.6
|
| 4 |
0.7
|
1.4
|
1.5
|
1.0
|
0.5
|
0.2
|
| 5 |
0.2
|
0.5
|
0.5
|
0.3
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2026
Napoli
0-2
Lazio
Jan 2026
Lazio
0-2
Napoli
Feb 2025
Lazio
2-2
Napoli
Dec 2024
Napoli
0-1
Lazio
Jan 2024
Lazio
0-0
Napoli
Sep 2023
Napoli
1-2
Lazio
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.