Sunday 10 September 2017, 17:00
Stadio Olimpico
Full time
47%
25%
28%
Home win
46.9%
Draw
25.4%
Away win
27.7%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lazio | 46.9% | 2.13 | — | — |
| Draw | 25.4% | 3.94 | — | — |
| AC Milan | 27.7% | 3.62 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 93.9% | 1.06 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 6.1% | 16.42 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 79.5% | 1.26 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 20.5% | 4.87 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 55.8% | 1.79 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 44.2% | 2.26 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 33.4% | 2.99 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 66.6% | 1.50 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 17.1% | 5.85 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 82.9% | 1.21 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 58.4% | 1.71 | — | — |
| No | 41.6% | 2.41 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lazio / Draw | 72.3% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Lazio / AC Milan | 74.6% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Draw / AC Milan | 53.1% | 1.88 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
6.1
|
6.0
|
4.2
|
1.7
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
8.4
|
11.9
|
7.0
|
2.9
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
| 2 |
7.6
|
9.4
|
5.8
|
2.4
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
| 3 |
4.2
|
5.3
|
3.3
|
1.4
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
1.8
|
2.2
|
1.4
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.6
|
0.7
|
0.5
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Mar 2026
Lazio
1-0
AC Milan
Nov 2025
AC Milan
1-0
Lazio
Mar 2025
AC Milan
1-2
Lazio
Aug 2024
Lazio
2-2
AC Milan
Mar 2024
Lazio
0-1
AC Milan
Sep 2023
AC Milan
2-0
Lazio
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.