Sunday 21 May 2017, 16:00
San Siro/Giuseppe Meazza
Full time
56%
26%
18%
Home win
55.7%
Draw
25.9%
Away win
18.5%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AC Milan | 55.7% | 1.80 | — | — |
| Draw | 25.9% | 3.87 | — | — |
| Bologna | 18.5% | 5.41 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 91.0% | 1.10 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 9.0% | 11.17 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 71.8% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 28.2% | 3.55 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 45.4% | 2.20 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 54.6% | 1.83 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 24.1% | 4.15 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 75.9% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 10.8% | 9.27 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 89.2% | 1.12 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 46.8% | 2.14 | — | — |
| No | 53.2% | 1.88 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AC Milan / Draw | 81.5% | 1.23 | — | — |
| AC Milan / Bologna | 74.1% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Draw / Bologna | 44.3% | 2.26 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
9.0
|
6.3
|
3.0
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
12.9
|
12.2
|
4.9
|
1.4
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
11.2
|
9.5
|
4.0
|
1.1
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
6.2
|
5.2
|
2.2
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
2.5
|
2.1
|
0.9
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.8
|
0.7
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Feb 2026
Bologna
0-3
AC Milan
Sep 2025
AC Milan
1-0
Bologna
May 2025
AC Milan
3-1
Bologna
Feb 2025
Bologna
2-1
AC Milan
Jan 2024
AC Milan
2-2
Bologna
Aug 2023
Bologna
0-2
AC Milan
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.