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Saturday 15 April 2017, 13:30 San Siro/Giuseppe Meazza Full time
2–2
HT 2–0
47% 27% 27%
Home win
46.6%
Draw
26.8%
Away win
26.5%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Inter 46.6% 2.14
Draw 26.8% 3.73
AC Milan 26.5% 3.77

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 92.2% 1.08
Under 0.5 7.8% 12.81
Over 1.5 74.9% 1.34
Under 1.5 25.1% 3.98
Over 2.5 49.4% 2.03
Under 2.5 50.6% 1.97
Over 3.5 27.4% 3.64
Under 3.5 72.6% 1.38
Over 4.5 12.9% 7.72
Under 4.5 87.1% 1.15

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 53.3% 1.88
No 46.7% 2.14

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Inter / Draw 73.5% 1.36
Inter / AC Milan 73.2% 1.37
Draw / AC Milan 53.4% 1.87

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
7.8
7.1
4.3
1.6
0.4
0.1
1
10.2
12.8
6.7
2.5
0.7
0.2
2
8.4
9.3
5.1
1.9
0.5
0.1
3
4.3
4.8
2.6
1.0
0.3
0.1
4
1.7
1.8
1.0
0.4
0.1
0.0
5
0.5
0.6
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Inter goals. Columns: AC Milan goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.