Saturday 18 March 2017, 21:45
San Siro/Giuseppe Meazza
Full time
62%
24%
15%
Home win
61.9%
Draw
23.5%
Away win
14.6%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AC Milan | 61.9% | 1.62 | — | — |
| Draw | 23.5% | 4.25 | — | — |
| Genoa | 14.6% | 6.85 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 91.9% | 1.09 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 8.1% | 12.37 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 73.8% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 26.2% | 3.82 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 48.1% | 2.08 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 51.9% | 1.93 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 26.3% | 3.80 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 73.7% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 12.2% | 8.20 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 87.8% | 1.14 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 45.7% | 2.19 | — | — |
| No | 54.3% | 1.84 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AC Milan / Draw | 85.4% | 1.17 | — | — |
| AC Milan / Genoa | 76.5% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Draw / Genoa | 38.1% | 2.62 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
8.1
|
5.1
|
2.2
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
13.0
|
11.1
|
4.0
|
1.0
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
12.4
|
9.6
|
3.7
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
7.6
|
5.8
|
2.2
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
3.5
|
2.7
|
1.0
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
1.3
|
1.0
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
May 2026
Genoa
1-2
AC Milan
Jan 2026
AC Milan
1-1
Genoa
May 2025
Genoa
1-2
AC Milan
Dec 2024
AC Milan
0-0
Genoa
May 2024
AC Milan
3-3
Genoa
Oct 2023
Genoa
0-1
AC Milan
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.