Friday 10 February 2017, 21:45
Stadio San Paolo
Full time
72%
17%
11%
Home win
72.4%
Draw
16.7%
Away win
10.9%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Napoli | 72.4% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Draw | 16.7% | 5.99 | — | — |
| Genoa | 10.9% | 9.16 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 96.6% | 1.04 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 3.4% | 29.00 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 86.9% | 1.15 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 13.1% | 7.61 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 67.9% | 1.47 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 32.1% | 3.12 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 46.4% | 2.16 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 53.6% | 1.86 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 27.5% | 3.64 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 72.5% | 1.38 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 56.3% | 1.78 | — | — |
| No | 43.7% | 2.29 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Napoli / Draw | 89.1% | 1.12 | — | — |
| Napoli / Genoa | 83.3% | 1.20 | — | — |
| Draw / Genoa | 27.6% | 3.62 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
3.4
|
2.4
|
1.3
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
7.3
|
7.6
|
3.3
|
1.0
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
10.0
|
9.3
|
4.3
|
1.3
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
8.6
|
7.9
|
3.7
|
1.1
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
5.5
|
5.1
|
2.4
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
2.8
|
2.6
|
1.2
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Feb 2026
Genoa
2-3
Napoli
Oct 2025
Napoli
2-1
Genoa
May 2025
Napoli
2-2
Genoa
Dec 2024
Genoa
1-2
Napoli
Feb 2024
Napoli
1-1
Genoa
Sep 2023
Genoa
2-2
Napoli
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.