Sunday 15 January 2017, 13:30
Sant'Elia
Full time
37%
25%
38%
Home win
36.5%
Draw
25.2%
Away win
38.3%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cagliari | 36.5% | 2.74 | — | — |
| Draw | 25.2% | 3.97 | — | — |
| Genoa | 38.3% | 2.61 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94.8% | 1.05 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 5.2% | 19.26 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 82.1% | 1.22 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 17.9% | 5.58 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 59.7% | 1.67 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 40.3% | 2.48 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 37.3% | 2.68 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 62.7% | 1.60 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 20.0% | 4.99 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 80.0% | 1.25 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 62.6% | 1.60 | — | — |
| No | 37.4% | 2.67 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cagliari / Draw | 61.7% | 1.62 | — | — |
| Cagliari / Genoa | 74.8% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Draw / Genoa | 63.5% | 1.58 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
5.2
|
6.5
|
5.6
|
2.9
|
1.1
|
0.4
|
| 1 |
6.3
|
11.5
|
8.5
|
4.4
|
1.7
|
0.5
|
| 2 |
5.3
|
8.3
|
6.5
|
3.4
|
1.3
|
0.4
|
| 3 |
2.7
|
4.2
|
3.3
|
1.7
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
| 4 |
1.0
|
1.6
|
1.3
|
0.7
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 5 |
0.3
|
0.5
|
0.4
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Jan 2026
Genoa
3-0
Cagliari
Nov 2025
Cagliari
3-3
Genoa
Mar 2025
Cagliari
1-1
Genoa
Nov 2024
Genoa
2-2
Cagliari
Apr 2024
Genoa
3-0
Cagliari
Nov 2023
Cagliari
2-1
Genoa
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.