Saturday 17 December 2016, 16:00
Carlo Castellani
Full time
31%
29%
40%
Home win
31.3%
Draw
28.6%
Away win
40.1%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Empoli | 31.3% | 3.19 | — | — |
| Draw | 28.6% | 3.49 | — | — |
| Cagliari | 40.1% | 2.50 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 90.7% | 1.10 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 9.3% | 10.79 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 71.3% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 28.7% | 3.49 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 44.7% | 2.24 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 55.3% | 1.81 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 23.5% | 4.25 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 76.5% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 10.4% | 9.59 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 89.6% | 1.12 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 50.7% | 1.97 | — | — |
| No | 49.3% | 2.03 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Empoli / Draw | 59.9% | 1.67 | — | — |
| Empoli / Cagliari | 71.4% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Draw / Cagliari | 68.7% | 1.46 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
9.3
|
10.5
|
7.4
|
3.3
|
1.1
|
0.3
|
| 1 |
8.9
|
13.6
|
8.5
|
3.8
|
1.2
|
0.3
|
| 2 |
5.5
|
7.3
|
4.9
|
2.1
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
| 3 |
2.1
|
2.8
|
1.8
|
0.8
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
0.6
|
0.8
|
0.5
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.1
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2025
Empoli
0-0
Cagliari
Sep 2024
Cagliari
0-2
Empoli
Mar 2024
Empoli
0-1
Cagliari
Dec 2023
Cagliari
0-0
Empoli
Feb 2022
Empoli
1-1
Cagliari
Sep 2021
Cagliari
0-2
Empoli
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.