Saturday 19 November 2016, 16:00
Marc'Antonio Bentegodi
Full time
52%
23%
25%
Home win
51.9%
Draw
23.3%
Away win
24.8%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chievo | 51.9% | 1.93 | — | — |
| Draw | 23.3% | 4.30 | — | — |
| Cagliari | 24.8% | 4.03 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 95.5% | 1.05 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 4.5% | 21.99 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 83.9% | 1.19 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 16.1% | 6.20 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 62.6% | 1.60 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 37.4% | 2.68 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 40.4% | 2.47 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 59.6% | 1.68 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 22.5% | 4.45 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 77.5% | 1.29 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 62.7% | 1.60 | — | — |
| No | 37.3% | 2.68 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chievo / Draw | 75.2% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Chievo / Cagliari | 76.7% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Draw / Cagliari | 48.1% | 2.08 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
4.5
|
4.5
|
3.3
|
1.4
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
7.1
|
10.5
|
6.4
|
2.8
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
| 2 |
7.4
|
9.6
|
6.2
|
2.7
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
| 3 |
4.8
|
6.2
|
4.0
|
1.7
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
2.3
|
3.0
|
1.9
|
0.8
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 5 |
0.9
|
1.2
|
0.8
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Mar 2019
Chievo
0-3
Cagliari
Oct 2018
Cagliari
2-1
Chievo
Feb 2018
Chievo
2-1
Cagliari
Sep 2017
Cagliari
0-2
Chievo
Apr 2017
Cagliari
4-0
Chievo
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.