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Sunday 6 November 2016, 16:00 Marc'Antonio Bentegodi Full time
1–2
HT 0–0
24% 29% 47%
Home win
23.8%
Draw
29.2%
Away win
47.0%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Chievo 23.8% 4.19
Draw 29.2% 3.43
Juventus 47.0% 2.13

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 88.8% 1.13
Under 0.5 11.2% 8.95
Over 1.5 66.8% 1.50
Under 1.5 33.2% 3.01
Over 2.5 39.4% 2.54
Under 2.5 60.6% 1.65
Over 3.5 19.3% 5.18
Under 3.5 80.7% 1.24
Over 4.5 7.9% 12.60
Under 4.5 92.1% 1.09

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 44.9% 2.23
No 55.1% 1.81

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Chievo / Draw 53.0% 1.89
Chievo / Juventus 70.8% 1.41
Draw / Juventus 76.2% 1.31

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
11.2
13.5
9.7
4.4
1.5
0.4
1
8.6
13.5
8.7
4.0
1.4
0.4
2
4.2
5.7
3.9
1.8
0.6
0.2
3
1.2
1.7
1.2
0.5
0.2
0.1
4
0.3
0.4
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Chievo goals. Columns: Juventus goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.