Sunday 2 October 2016, 13:30
Carlo Castellani
Full time
16%
31%
53%
Home win
16.4%
Draw
30.6%
Away win
53.0%
Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Empoli | 16.4% | 6.09 | — | — |
| Draw | 30.6% | 3.27 | — | — |
| Juventus | 53.0% | 1.89 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 84.2% | 1.19 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 15.8% | 6.31 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 57.0% | 1.76 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 43.0% | 2.32 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 29.3% | 3.41 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 70.7% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 12.3% | 8.12 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 87.7% | 1.14 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 4.3% | 23.22 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 95.7% | 1.04 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 33.2% | 3.01 | — | — |
| No | 66.8% | 1.50 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Empoli / Draw | 47.0% | 2.13 | — | — |
| Empoli / Juventus | 69.4% | 1.44 | — | — |
| Draw / Juventus | 83.6% | 1.20 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
15.8
|
18.9
|
12.7
|
5.5
|
1.8
|
0.5
|
| 1 |
8.3
|
12.3
|
7.5
|
3.2
|
1.0
|
0.3
|
| 2 |
2.7
|
3.5
|
2.2
|
1.0
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
0.5
|
0.7
|
0.4
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Feb 2025
Juventus
4-1
Empoli
Sep 2024
Empoli
0-0
Juventus
Jan 2024
Juventus
1-1
Empoli
Sep 2023
Empoli
0-2
Juventus
May 2023
Empoli
4-1
Juventus
Oct 2022
Juventus
4-0
Empoli
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.