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Sunday 2 October 2016, 13:30 Carlo Castellani Full time
0–3
HT 0–0
16% 31% 53%
Home win
16.4%
Draw
30.6%
Away win
53.0%

Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Empoli 16.4% 6.09
Draw 30.6% 3.27
Juventus 53.0% 1.89

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 84.2% 1.19
Under 0.5 15.8% 6.31
Over 1.5 57.0% 1.76
Under 1.5 43.0% 2.32
Over 2.5 29.3% 3.41
Under 2.5 70.7% 1.41
Over 3.5 12.3% 8.12
Under 3.5 87.7% 1.14
Over 4.5 4.3% 23.22
Under 4.5 95.7% 1.04

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 33.2% 3.01
No 66.8% 1.50

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Empoli / Draw 47.0% 2.13
Empoli / Juventus 69.4% 1.44
Draw / Juventus 83.6% 1.20

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
15.8
18.9
12.7
5.5
1.8
0.5
1
8.3
12.3
7.5
3.2
1.0
0.3
2
2.7
3.5
2.2
1.0
0.3
0.1
3
0.5
0.7
0.4
0.2
0.1
0.0
4
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
5
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Empoli goals. Columns: Juventus goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.