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Saturday 10 September 2016, 19:00 Allianz Stadium Full time
3–1
HT 3–1
69% 15% 16%
Home win
68.7%
Draw
15.4%
Away win
15.9%

Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Juventus 68.7% 1.46
Draw 15.4% 6.48
Sassuolo 15.9% 6.29

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 98.8% 1.01
Under 0.5 1.2% 85.18
Over 1.5 95.1% 1.05
Under 1.5 4.9% 20.39
Over 2.5 84.8% 1.18
Under 2.5 15.2% 6.58
Over 3.5 69.1% 1.45
Under 3.5 30.9% 3.23
Over 4.5 50.6% 1.98
Under 4.5 49.4% 2.02

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 75.8% 1.32
No 24.2% 4.14

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Juventus / Draw 84.1% 1.19
Juventus / Sassuolo 84.6% 1.18
Draw / Sassuolo 31.3% 3.19

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
1.2
1.1
1.1
0.6
0.2
0.1
1
2.6
4.7
3.5
1.8
0.7
0.2
2
4.5
7.0
5.5
2.8
1.1
0.3
3
4.7
7.3
5.7
3.0
1.2
0.4
4
3.7
5.8
4.5
2.3
0.9
0.3
5
2.3
3.6
2.8
1.5
0.6
0.2
Rows: Juventus goals. Columns: Sassuolo goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.