Saturday 27 August 2016, 19:00
Stadio Olimpico
Full time
37%
52%
11%
Home win
37.3%
Draw
52.0%
Away win
10.7%
Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lazio | 37.3% | 2.68 | — | — |
| Draw | 52.0% | 1.92 | — | — |
| Juventus | 10.7% | 9.39 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 53.8% | 1.86 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 46.2% | 2.17 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 18.7% | 5.34 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 81.3% | 1.23 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 4.5% | 22.41 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 95.5% | 1.05 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 0.8% | 119.90 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 99.2% | 1.01 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 0.1% | 787.40 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 99.9% | 1.00 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 8.4% | 11.89 | — | — |
| No | 91.6% | 1.09 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lazio / Draw | 89.4% | 1.12 | — | — |
| Lazio / Juventus | 48.0% | 2.08 | — | — |
| Draw / Juventus | 62.7% | 1.60 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
46.2
|
9.0
|
1.0
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
26.1
|
5.7
|
0.5
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
7.6
|
1.6
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
1.5
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Feb 2026
Juventus
2-2
Lazio
Oct 2025
Lazio
1-0
Juventus
May 2025
Lazio
1-1
Juventus
Oct 2024
Juventus
1-0
Lazio
Mar 2024
Lazio
1-0
Juventus
Sep 2023
Juventus
3-1
Lazio
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.