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Saturday 24 September 2016, 19:00 Renzo Barbera Full time
0–1
HT 0–0
24% 27% 49%
Home win
24.2%
Draw
26.7%
Away win
49.1%

Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Palermo 24.2% 4.13
Draw 26.7% 3.74
Juventus 49.1% 2.04

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 91.8% 1.09
Under 0.5 8.2% 12.22
Over 1.5 73.9% 1.35
Under 1.5 26.1% 3.83
Over 2.5 48.1% 2.08
Under 2.5 52.0% 1.92
Over 3.5 26.3% 3.80
Under 3.5 73.7% 1.36
Over 4.5 12.2% 8.20
Under 4.5 87.8% 1.14

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 51.6% 1.94
No 48.4% 2.07

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Palermo / Draw 50.9% 1.96
Palermo / Juventus 73.3% 1.37
Draw / Juventus 75.8% 1.32

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
8.2
11.0
9.1
4.8
1.9
0.6
1
7.0
12.8
9.4
4.9
1.9
0.6
2
4.0
6.2
4.8
2.5
1.0
0.3
3
1.4
2.1
1.7
0.9
0.3
0.1
4
0.3
0.5
0.4
0.2
0.1
0.0
5
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Palermo goals. Columns: Juventus goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.