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Friday 17 February 2017, 21:45 Allianz Stadium Full time
4–1
HT 2–0
84% 12% 4%
Home win
83.8%
Draw
12.3%
Away win
4.0%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Juventus 83.8% 1.19
Draw 12.3% 8.15
Palermo 4.0% 25.17

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 95.3% 1.05
Under 0.5 4.7% 21.20
Over 1.5 82.2% 1.22
Under 1.5 17.8% 5.62
Over 2.5 60.4% 1.66
Under 2.5 39.6% 2.53
Over 3.5 38.1% 2.63
Under 3.5 61.9% 1.61
Over 4.5 20.6% 4.85
Under 4.5 79.4% 1.26

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 34.5% 2.90
No 65.5% 1.53

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Juventus / Draw 96.0% 1.04
Juventus / Palermo 87.7% 1.14
Draw / Palermo 16.2% 6.16

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
4.7
1.7
0.5
0.1
0.0
0.0
1
11.4
5.7
1.2
0.2
0.0
0.0
2
15.6
7.2
1.6
0.2
0.0
0.0
3
13.9
6.4
1.5
0.2
0.0
0.0
4
9.3
4.2
1.0
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
4.9
2.3
0.5
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Juventus goals. Columns: Palermo goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.