Wednesday 21 September 2016, 21:45
Allianz Stadium
Full time
74%
16%
10%
Home win
73.6%
Draw
16.1%
Away win
10.3%
Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juventus | 73.6% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Draw | 16.1% | 6.21 | — | — |
| Cagliari | 10.3% | 9.68 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 96.7% | 1.03 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 3.3% | 30.70 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 87.5% | 1.14 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 12.5% | 7.97 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 69.0% | 1.45 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 31.0% | 3.23 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 47.6% | 2.10 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 52.4% | 1.91 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 28.6% | 3.50 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 71.4% | 1.40 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 56.3% | 1.78 | — | — |
| No | 43.7% | 2.29 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juventus / Draw | 89.7% | 1.12 | — | — |
| Juventus / Cagliari | 83.9% | 1.19 | — | — |
| Draw / Cagliari | 26.4% | 3.78 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
3.3
|
2.2
|
1.2
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
7.1
|
7.3
|
3.2
|
1.0
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
9.9
|
9.1
|
4.2
|
1.3
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
8.7
|
8.0
|
3.7
|
1.1
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
5.7
|
5.3
|
2.4
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
3.0
|
2.8
|
1.3
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Jan 2026
Cagliari
1-0
Juventus
Nov 2025
Juventus
2-1
Cagliari
Feb 2025
Cagliari
0-1
Juventus
Oct 2024
Juventus
1-1
Cagliari
Apr 2024
Cagliari
2-2
Juventus
Nov 2023
Juventus
2-1
Cagliari
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.