Sunday 25 September 2016, 16:00
Stadio Olimpico
Full time
72%
19%
9%
Home win
72.4%
Draw
19.0%
Away win
8.6%
Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lazio | 72.4% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Draw | 19.0% | 5.28 | — | — |
| Empoli | 8.6% | 11.59 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 92.9% | 1.08 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 7.1% | 14.18 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 76.1% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 23.9% | 4.18 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 51.3% | 1.95 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 48.7% | 2.05 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 29.1% | 3.43 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 70.9% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 14.1% | 7.10 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 85.9% | 1.16 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 40.2% | 2.49 | — | — |
| No | 59.8% | 1.67 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lazio / Draw | 91.4% | 1.09 | — | — |
| Lazio / Empoli | 81.0% | 1.23 | — | — |
| Draw / Empoli | 27.6% | 3.63 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
7.1
|
3.4
|
1.2
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
13.4
|
8.8
|
2.5
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
14.8
|
8.9
|
2.7
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
10.5
|
6.3
|
1.9
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
5.6
|
3.3
|
1.0
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
2.4
|
1.4
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
May 2025
Empoli
0-1
Lazio
Oct 2024
Lazio
2-1
Empoli
May 2024
Lazio
2-0
Empoli
Dec 2023
Empoli
0-2
Lazio
Jun 2023
Empoli
0-2
Lazio
Jan 2023
Lazio
2-2
Empoli
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.