Tuesday 20 September 2016, 21:45
San Siro/Giuseppe Meazza
Full time
3%
18%
79%
Home win
3.0%
Draw
18.4%
Away win
78.7%
Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AC Milan | 3.0% | 33.82 | — | — |
| Draw | 18.4% | 5.45 | — | — |
| Lazio | 78.7% | 1.27 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 87.0% | 1.15 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 13.0% | 7.67 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 61.3% | 1.63 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 38.7% | 2.58 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 33.9% | 2.95 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 66.1% | 1.51 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 15.4% | 6.51 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 84.6% | 1.18 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 5.8% | 17.20 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 94.2% | 1.06 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 15.2% | 6.59 | — | — |
| No | 84.8% | 1.18 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AC Milan / Draw | 21.3% | 4.69 | — | — |
| AC Milan / Lazio | 81.6% | 1.22 | — | — |
| Draw / Lazio | 97.0% | 1.03 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
13.0
|
23.5
|
22.2
|
13.8
|
6.4
|
2.4
|
| 1 |
2.2
|
4.9
|
4.3
|
2.7
|
1.2
|
0.5
|
| 2 |
0.2
|
0.4
|
0.4
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Mar 2026
Lazio
1-0
AC Milan
Nov 2025
AC Milan
1-0
Lazio
Mar 2025
AC Milan
1-2
Lazio
Aug 2024
Lazio
2-2
AC Milan
Mar 2024
Lazio
0-1
AC Milan
Sep 2023
AC Milan
2-0
Lazio
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.