Sunday 11 September 2016, 16:00
San Siro/Giuseppe Meazza
Full time
53%
20%
27%
Home win
53.3%
Draw
20.2%
Away win
26.6%
Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AC Milan | 53.3% | 1.88 | — | — |
| Draw | 20.2% | 4.96 | — | — |
| Udinese | 26.6% | 3.76 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 97.9% | 1.02 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 2.1% | 48.59 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 92.0% | 1.09 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 8.0% | 12.45 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 77.7% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 22.3% | 4.48 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 58.6% | 1.71 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 41.4% | 2.42 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 39.1% | 2.56 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 60.9% | 1.64 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 74.7% | 1.34 | — | — |
| No | 25.3% | 3.95 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AC Milan / Draw | 73.4% | 1.36 | — | — |
| AC Milan / Udinese | 79.8% | 1.25 | — | — |
| Draw / Udinese | 46.7% | 2.14 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
2.1
|
2.4
|
2.4
|
1.3
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
| 1 |
3.6
|
7.2
|
5.7
|
3.2
|
1.4
|
0.5
|
| 2 |
4.8
|
8.1
|
6.9
|
3.9
|
1.7
|
0.6
|
| 3 |
3.8
|
6.5
|
5.5
|
3.1
|
1.3
|
0.4
|
| 4 |
2.3
|
3.9
|
3.3
|
1.9
|
0.8
|
0.3
|
| 5 |
1.1
|
1.9
|
1.6
|
0.9
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2026
AC Milan
0-3
Udinese
Sep 2025
Udinese
0-3
AC Milan
Apr 2025
Udinese
0-4
AC Milan
Oct 2024
AC Milan
1-0
Udinese
Jan 2024
Udinese
2-3
AC Milan
Nov 2023
AC Milan
0-1
Udinese
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.