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Saturday 17 September 2016, 19:00 Stadio Olimpico Full time
3–0
HT 0–0
62% 32% 6%
Home win
61.9%
Draw
31.9%
Away win
6.2%

Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Lazio 61.9% 1.62
Draw 31.9% 3.13
Pescara 6.2% 16.14

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 75.1% 1.33
Under 0.5 24.9% 4.01
Over 1.5 41.4% 2.42
Under 1.5 58.6% 1.71
Over 2.5 16.8% 5.96
Under 2.5 83.2% 1.20
Over 3.5 5.4% 18.43
Under 3.5 94.6% 1.06
Over 4.5 1.4% 69.25
Under 4.5 98.6% 1.01

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 13.7% 7.28
No 86.3% 1.16

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Lazio / Draw 93.8% 1.07
Lazio / Pescara 68.1% 1.47
Draw / Pescara 38.1% 2.62

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
24.9
4.9
0.6
0.0
0.0
0.0
1
28.9
6.6
0.7
0.0
0.0
0.0
2
17.4
3.7
0.4
0.0
0.0
0.0
3
6.9
1.5
0.2
0.0
0.0
0.0
4
2.1
0.4
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
5
0.5
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Lazio goals. Columns: Pescara goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.