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Sunday 5 February 2017, 16:00 Stadio Adriatico-Giovanni Cornacchia Full time
2–6
HT 2–2
17% 24% 59%
Home win
16.8%
Draw
24.5%
Away win
58.7%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Pescara 16.8% 5.96
Draw 24.5% 4.09
Lazio 58.7% 1.70

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 91.9% 1.09
Under 0.5 8.1% 12.32
Over 1.5 73.8% 1.35
Under 1.5 26.2% 3.82
Over 2.5 48.0% 2.08
Under 2.5 52.0% 1.92
Over 3.5 26.3% 3.80
Under 3.5 73.7% 1.36
Over 4.5 12.2% 8.20
Under 4.5 87.8% 1.14

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 47.5% 2.11
No 52.5% 1.90

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Pescara / Draw 41.3% 2.42
Pescara / Lazio 75.5% 1.32
Draw / Lazio 83.2% 1.20

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
8.1
12.5
11.6
6.8
3.0
1.1
1
5.6
11.6
9.7
5.7
2.5
0.9
2
2.6
4.6
4.0
2.4
1.0
0.4
3
0.7
1.3
1.1
0.7
0.3
0.1
4
0.2
0.3
0.2
0.1
0.1
0.0
5
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Pescara goals. Columns: Lazio goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.