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Sunday 15 January 2017, 16:00 Stadio San Paolo Full time
3–1
HT 0–0
82% 12% 6%
Home win
82.4%
Draw
12.0%
Away win
5.5%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Napoli 82.4% 1.21
Draw 12.0% 8.32
Pescara 5.5% 18.06

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 97.1% 1.03
Under 0.5 2.9% 34.11
Over 1.5 88.2% 1.13
Under 1.5 11.8% 8.47
Over 2.5 70.5% 1.42
Under 2.5 29.5% 3.39
Over 3.5 49.4% 2.02
Under 3.5 50.6% 1.98
Over 4.5 30.2% 3.31
Under 4.5 69.8% 1.43

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 47.7% 2.10
No 52.3% 1.91

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Napoli / Draw 94.5% 1.06
Napoli / Pescara 88.0% 1.14
Draw / Pescara 17.6% 5.69

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
2.9
1.5
0.6
0.1
0.0
0.0
1
7.4
5.7
1.8
0.4
0.1
0.0
2
11.4
7.9
2.7
0.6
0.1
0.0
3
11.2
7.8
2.7
0.6
0.1
0.0
4
8.3
5.7
2.0
0.5
0.1
0.0
5
4.9
3.4
1.2
0.3
0.0
0.0
Rows: Napoli goals. Columns: Pescara goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.